New Roscosmos GD Says Russia to Leave ISS Program After 2024
The new head of Roscosmos says that Russia will leave the International Space Station program after 2024. The Associated Press reports:
Yuri Borisov, appointed this month to lead the state space agency, Roscosmos, said during a meeting with President Vladimir Putin that Russia will fulfill its obligations to its partners before it leaves.
“The decision to leave the station after 2024 has been made,” Borisov said, adding: “I think that by that time we will start forming a Russian orbiting station.”
Borisov’s statement reaffirmed previous declarations by Russian space officials about Moscow’s intention to leave the space station after 2024 when the current international arrangements for its operation end.
Roscosmos previously announced that it would build the Russian Orbital Service Station (ROSS) after it leaves ISS.
Russia keeps the station supplied with crews and cargo via Soyuz and Progress spacecraft, respectively. Progress resupply ships raise the station’s orbit and maneuvers the facility to avoid space debris. The Russian section of ISS is about one quarter of the orbiting laboratory.
The United States wants to keep the station operating until 2030. It wants U.S. industry to develop private space stations later in the 2020’s on which the space agency could become a tenant.
ISS is a partnership of NASA, European Space Agency (ESA), Canadian Space Agency (CSA) and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA). The four space agencies are partners in the NASA-led Artemis program that plans to return astronauts to the surface of the moon later in this decade.
NASA ISS Program Director Robyn Gatens said the space agency has received no formal notice about Russia withdrawing from the program during an appearance at the International Space Station Research and Development Conference in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday.
42 responses to “New Roscosmos GD Says Russia to Leave ISS Program After 2024”
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I believe the Russian Nauka module which was added last year, is what enables this Russian decision, as it provides more power.
Not sure if the whole Russian segment will leave ISS by 2024, or just the Nauka module?
I for one hope that they mean it. its hard to see how they put a new station together…but they have teh current one and well just go away 🙂
this will be good for ISS in the long run. It will enable its redirection to a primer for privately held stations…
Ha ha ha ha! Russia is a delusional old man walking around his retirement home in a frayed military uniform, waving around maps and battle plans to the other patients. Even if they try to detach and operate their existing modules a separate station, they’ll screw it up and have to abandon it within a few years anyway.
This will be their problem. Important that they unplug their modules from the ISS.
Be careful what you wish for. Hopefully someone is going to model the dynamics of the separation. And then you have the problem of two stations in a similar orbit with the possibility of multiple near approaches if they don’t coordinate their orbital adjustments.
No. The Russians can not detached any of their modules until they can move them to another station that can supply power. Which is never, IMO.
Also all the modules except Nauka has been in space for over 20 years. There isn’t much service life left in them.
Finally you need the Russians to control the ISS altitude and attitude until NASA have something to replace the capacity. Otherwise the ISS will have an early reentry.
A delusional old man waving around a nuclear pistol, while strangling his flatmate. Not quite so funny.
You might be right about the final collapse of Russian spaceflight. But I wouldn’t count them fully dead just yet.
The Russians have to give notice 1 year in advance if they wish to withdraw. Their current commitment to the ISS ends on Dec. 31 2024.
So the date the Russians would give notice if they want out is Dec 31 2023. That will be an interesting day.
Russia is going to be in a very different situation New Years Eve 2023. Let’s see what New Years looks like in 2022, that will say a lot.
I think we already know what New Year’s Eve looks like in 2022…
I wish I could be so confident. I can see it going many ways yet. I still see a lot of pot stirring and new ingredients going in. I think the next 6 months will be very dynamic, or not, which would be yet another trajectory to consider.
Dude, it’s *already* 2022. So New Year’s has already happened 🙂
Phhhhhttttttt … .Hhahaha. Got me bad! Yeah. 🙂
:))
Ukraine is just going to get worse. Ivan has figured out we are scared of war with him
Putin wants to blanky, I mean, iron curtain back, he did not expect it would take so long and so many resources. Of course, this is in large part because of the US using Ukraine as a proxy war with Russia (the enemy of my enemy is my friend).
well said. and exactly
Ukraine is very Westernized now. The Ukrainian armed forces have been, and still are fighting just like NATO intended in the 80’s. Don’t forget back then, NATO thought the Warsaw Pact was going to make major advances into Western Europe before they’d be stopped. It was an unknown as to what the war would become after they were stopped. That’s exactly the situation Ukraine is in now. Both sides ground the other down, and Ukraine is looking for real world options to go on the offensive to take back what was lost.
that ship has sailed. Putin forced all those countries into the arms of the west…
It’ll get worse before it gets better. But I think the Ukrainians have a decent shot at having the Russians entirely out by year’s end. Ivan has figured out we don’t need to go to war with him if the Ukrainians can hand him his ass with just some monetary and weaponry assistance. I think he has also figured out that we are far less scared of going to war with him than we used to be.
I hope so
Ukraine needs to have their old Soviet artillery tubes re-tubed, and somewhere secure a factory to manufacture ammunition has to go operational if that’s not already happened. It’s the only option to give Ukraine massed artillery capability. The major injection needed from the West is tanks and trucks. To go on the offensive and take back territory Ukraine needs Western tanks that can sweep open tracts of land of Russian armor. It’s believable that will happen. Given the numbers required, they’ll likely be M1’s. M-60’s would be fine, but we’d have to have started getting those out of storage back in March. I think the Ukrainians are going to eventually get about 300 early model Abrams, and a few AH-1 Cobra attack helicopters with Hellfire as local air support.
And maybe A-10s. Hasn’t been ruled out:
https://www.thedrive.com/th…
The aircraft for securing what comes after. Type rating in a combat aircraft and becoming proficient in the weapons use takes the better part of a year. Besides both sides SAM networks are doing a pretty good job of deterring combat aircraft use where it’s needed. NATO planned to use artillery to suppress SAM and MANPADS to assist CAS. That’s just what Ukraine does not have anymore. They literally drained their stocks, and probably wore out their tube linings. Lack of artillery is Ukraine’s biggest loss.
airplanes like the A10 would be a nightmare. the logistical tail on those is enormous. AS is their ground footprint which would be very very vulnerable
and they wouold probably last a few weeks againts Soviet opps russian air defense
I’m not so sure. Russia needs to mobilize for that. They’re in a very weak position as well. Look at how effective the MLRS systems are. Ukraine can blunt Russian offenses, but it looks like they can’t go on large scale offenses to retake what’s been lost. From what I can see Ukraine is trying to reduce Russian forces to light infantry by destroying Russian heavy mech by means of denial of ammo and fuel, before going on the offensive themselves. This might work, but is going to go into the winter to play out. If Russia does not institute a draft, they’re going to lose. Eventually the Ukrainians will either find a means to go on the offensive or make the decision to accept heavy casualties sending in waves of infantry. Ukraine reports 1M men under arms now. They’re 5:1 over the Russians easy, they can do it at a heavy price. But are they willing to pay it? I’m not convinced they are.
the problem is that time is not on the Ukrainians side here
The deadline for Ukraine is entirely dependent on when Russia mobilizes. If Russia does not, this can go on for a long long time.
Why not? By all reports they out number the Russians in infantry. Depending on the source, anywhere from 2:1 to 5:1. The Russians are also running out of smart weapons which they can’t really replace due to sanctions. And the Ukrainians are using HiMars to devastate the Russian ammo stocks.
the country’s economy is collapsing as well as its infrastructure which the Russians are slowing bringing down. the west is having to spend about 40 billion every two months to keep them afloat and that number will get larger as the grain harvest doesnt come in as planned. the numbers in the military are deceiving…they reflect bodies not trained troops. (the Russians to some extent have this problem as well) …rebuilding the country will cost nearly a trillion dollars who is going to pay for that. Russia has enough western capital flowing in to stay afloat. winter is coming
Yes, both China and India are increasing their trade with Russia which is helping their economy. And as a result the Russians will be able to make this winter one which will see Europeans freeze from lack of Russian energy.
thats it. also I suspect that the Saudis have failed to deliver on their promises (if any) that Biden got
yeah have I missed that time? thought I was celebrating 🙂
If the Russians don’t give a one year notice, they get a slap on the wrist from Biden and NASA.
and harsh words
Yeah, that’ll show ’em.
lol
It certainly will be if NASA continues its official head-in-sand posture anent the meaning of Borisov’s statement and makes no preparations for Russian departure prior to formal notice being given.
I like this Yuri Borisov already
Opinions are opinions until they can be proven correct or wrong.
sadly Bill has lost the ability for clear thinking
That station is long in the tooth, NASA should dump it into the ocean around 2028.