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Our World is Losing Ice at Record Rate

By Doug Messier
Parabolic Arc
January 26, 2021
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Arctic ice (Credit: Pixabay/Taken)

LEEDS, UK (ESA PR) — A research team – the first to carry out a survey of global ice loss using satellite data – has discovered that the rate at which ice is disappearing across the planet is speeding up. The findings also reveal that 28 trillion tonnes of ice was lost between 1994 and 2017 – equivalent to a sheet of ice 100 metres thick covering the whole of the UK.

paper, published today in The Cryosphere, describes how a team of researchers led by the University of Leeds in the UK used information from ESA’s ERS, Envisat and CryoSat satellites as well as the Copernicus Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 missions to find that the rate at which Earth has lost ice has increased markedly within the past three decades, from 0.8 trillion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 1.3 trillion tonnes per year by 2017.

To put this into perspective, one trillion tonnes of ice can be thought of as a cube of ice measuring 10x10x10 km, which would be taller than Mount Everest.

One trillion tonnes of ice in perspective. (Credit: Planetary Visions)

The research shows that overall, there has been a 65% increase in the rate of ice loss over the 23-year survey. This has been driven mainly by steep rises in losses from the polar ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland.

Ice melt from ice sheets and glaciers raises sea levels, increases the risk of flooding in coastal communities, which has severe consequences for society, the economy and the environment.

Lead author Thomas Slater, a research fellow at Leeds’ Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, said, “Although every region we studied lost ice, losses from the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets have accelerated the most.

“The ice sheets are now following the worst-case climate warming scenarios set out by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Sea-level rise on this scale will have very serious impacts on coastal communities this century.”

The study is the first of its kind to examine all the ice that is disappearing on Earth, using satellite observations.

The survey covers 215 000 mountain glaciers spread around the planet, the polar ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica, the ice shelves floating around Antarctica, and sea ice drifting in the Arctic and Southern Oceans.

Dr Slater added, “Over the past three decades there’s been a huge international effort to understand what’s happening to individual components in Earth’s ice system. This has been revolutionised by satellites as they allow us to routinely monitor the vast and inhospitable regions where ice can be found.”

The increase in ice loss has been triggered by warming of the atmosphere and oceans, which have warmed by 0.26°C and 0.12°C per decade since 1980, respectively.

During the survey period, there was a loss of 7.6 trillion tonnes of Arctic sea ice and a loss of 6.5 trillion tonnes from Antarctic ices shelves, both of which float on the polar oceans.

Isobel Lawrence, also a research fellow at the Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, said, “Sea-ice loss doesn’t contribute directly to sea-level rise, but it does have an indirect influence. One of the key roles of Arctic sea ice is to reflect solar radiation back into space, which helps keep the Arctic cool.

“As the sea ice shrinks, more solar energy is being absorbed by the oceans and atmosphere, causing the Arctic to warm faster than anywhere else on the planet.”

Ice lost between 1994 and 2017. (Credit; CPOM)

Half of all losses were from ice on land – including 6.1 trillion tonnes from mountain glaciers, 3.8 trillion tonnes from the Greenland ice sheet, and 2.5 trillion tonnes from the Antarctic ice sheet. These losses have raised global sea levels by 35 millimetres.

It is estimated that for every centimetre of sea-level rise, approximately a million people in low-lying regions are in danger of being displaced.

Despite storing only 1% of Earth’s total ice volume, glaciers have contributed to almost a quarter of the global ice losses over the study period, with all glacier regions around the world losing ice.

Report co-author and PhD researcher Inès Otosaka, also from the Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, said, “As well as contributing to global mean sea-level rise, mountain glaciers are also critical as a freshwater resource for local communities.

“The retreat of glaciers around the world is therefore of crucial importance at both local and global scales.”

ESA’s Mark Drinkwater added, “The tap to the vast global icy reservoir has been well and truly opened by global warming. Continuity in satellite data is the key to predicting future ice losses, and to assist in mitigating the threats posed by sea-level rise, shrinking high mountain glaciers and further climate feedbacks. The Copernicus Expansion missions, CRISTAL, CIMR and ROSE-L have been designed to fill the gaps in current Sentinel capabilities for comprehensive monitoring of changes in the global ice cover.”

7 responses to “Our World is Losing Ice at Record Rate”

  1. gunsandrockets says:
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    “The ice sheets are now following the worst-case climate warming scenarios set out by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Sea-level rise on this scale will have very serious impacts on coastal communities this century.”

    So how much sea-level rise is that, exactly? It isn’t easy to find that “worst-case” number.

    One source claimed a worst-case rise of 2 feet 9 inches by 2100. In contrast to an expected rise of 1 foot by 2100.

    Another source claimed a possible “worst-case scenario” rise of 2.5 meters by 2100. In contrast to an “intermediate scenario” rise of 1 meter by 2100.

    SLS delenda est

    • redneck says:
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      WOW, only 80 years to adjust for changing shorelines (possibly). Rise of 35 millimeters in 23 years according to this article, so projects out to 6″-8″ rise by 2100. They are projecting considerable acceleration on the way. Do we really have to bail out the rich with their beachfront houses? Or subsidize the farmers competing against increased crop yields up north?

      • duheagle says:
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        As the saying goes, I’ll start believing we face a grave climate emergency when the people who’ve been peddling that load of roadapples for years start acting like they believe it. But I observe that former President Obama has purchased a beachfront mansion on Martha’s Vineyard so it seems he’s not expecting the Secret Service to have to tackle the Atlantic Ocean and wrestle it to the floor anytime soon.

        • redneck says:
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          The tell will be when/if insurance companies quit supplying coverage to areas they consider at risk. Big difference in profit based and demagogue based action

          Edit a minute later
          I trust an insurance company to operate in their own best interests than I trust a politician to operate in mine.

          • ThomasLMatula says:
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            Yes, actually I did a paper on that a decade ago. They already are taking this into account in their rates and requirements. President Trump for example couldn’t buy insurance for his golf resort in Scotland until he built a sea wall to their specs.

      • ThomasLMatula says:
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        Farmers will just switch to other crops more suited for the new conditions or the existing crops will be genetically modified, so no big adjustments. Yes, no need to bail out those with beach homes anymore than those who build on seaside cliffs that erode away.

  2. ThomasLMatula says:
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    There is 30 million cubic kilometers of ice in Antarctica and another 2 million cubic kilometers in Greenland. At this rate it will take 25,000 years for it to melt. Of course this assumes the interglacial period we are in will last that long…

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