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Video: Elon Musk Describes Vision for a Human Civilization

By Doug Messier
Parabolic Arc
August 9, 2017
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Video Caption:
Elon Musk has never been one to keep his long-term plans to himself. Beyond the development of reusable rockets, electric cars, and revolutionizing solar power, he has also been quite vocal about establishing a colony on Mars within his lifetime. The goal here is nothing less than ensuring the survival of the human race by creating a “backup location”, and calls for some serious planning and architecture.

These and other aspects of Musk’s proposed mission to Mars were outlined in an essay titled “Making Humans a Multi-Planetary Species“, which was published in the June 2017 issue of the journal New Space. The paper is a summary of the presentation he made at the 67th Annual Meeting of the International Astronautical Congress, which took place from September 26th–30th, 2016, in Guadalajara, Mexico.

The paper was produced by Scott Hubbard, a consulting professor at Stanford University and the Editor-in-Chief of NewSpace, and includes all the material and slides from Musk’s original presentation. Contained within are Musk’s thoughts on how the colonization of Mars could be accomplished in this century and what issues would need to be addressed.

21 responses to “Video: Elon Musk Describes Vision for a Human Civilization”

  1. Obediah Headstrong says:
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    A colony on Mars eventually will consist of giants tending giant crops.They will not be able to return to Earth to visit family, all because of lower gravity which on Mars is about one-third of that on Earth. Creepy, but fascinating.

  2. Paul451 says:
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    Speaking of visions, Doug, is it time for a new sidebar poll? I don’t think you’re going to get closer to a three-way-tie in the current poll than what you have now.

    • Douglas Messier says:
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      Done. Enjoy!

      • Paul451 says:
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        Nothing in-between absolute flawless success and utter devastating failure?

        What would Musk pick? Since he apparently expects it to get off the pad but explode in mid-air due to weird vibration and aerodynamic effects which can’t be simulated by hold-down tests.

        [Edit: I just noticed that the Poll now detects whether you’ve voted, afterwards always showing the results, and highlights which one you voted for. Much, much better. (Previously, ever since you changed the WP theme, it defaulted to voting-buttons, even though you couldn’t vote again, and didn’t show your choice when you did manual switch to “results”.)]

        [[Aside: I still think we need a permanent vote-discussion thread. Oh wait, there’s an empty comment section on the Polls archive.]]

      • therealdmt says:
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        The poll should be on the number of stages destroyed (ascent only for the upper stage)

  3. DougSpace says:
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    There wasn’t very much information there re: his view of a Martian civilization. The direct democracy ideas were interesting. But not much more.

    • Douglas Messier says:
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      He’s got it in his head that he’s building a cosmic version of the Transcontinental Railroad. Elon thinks that California was like Mars — empty, or nearly so — and that the railroad was built to fill it with people. Yes and no. Actually, the land the railroad passed through was largely devoid of people (Americans settlers from the East, anyway) and it took the railroad and massive giveaways of land to the railroad companies and the homesteaders through the Homestead Act to help fill it.

      The fact is that the infrastructure on Mars needed to support the numbers that he wants to send there will be enormously expensive. You’re building new cities in the middle of the harshest environment people will have ever lived in. Just keeping them alive and thriving will be an immense challenge. If Elon can make money getting people there and leave all the other costs to someone else, that would be just fine for him.

      The problem is who actually pays for the rest of the plan. And does he have any compelling reasons for them to do so. Adventure and backing up humanity in case of a catastrophe on Earth might not do that.

      • Vladislaw says:
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        Douglas Messier wrote: “and massive giveaways of land “

        That is it in a nutshell. Property rights and the ability for the government to give away land. I just do not see anything really big happen until we have a Gen. Custer. He traveled on land not owned by the government and shouted “GOLD”

        • Terry Rawnsley says:
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          And we all know what happened to him. 🙂

        • ThomasLMatula says:
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          So you think its acceptable to take the land from the Martians like we did from the native Americans, even if they are only micro-organisms? I would think we would learn from history.

          But then that is what the Moon Treaty is all about, a handful of nations claiming ownership of all the resources of the Solar System. Its nothing more than a modern version of the Treaty of Tordesillas which was one excuse for the Falklands War.

          • Michael Vaicaitis says:
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            “……even if they are only micro-organisms”
            Yes. There is perhaps a short-term scientific argument to be had, but I would be delighted to read your reasoning that compares single cells to (native) human societies.

            • ThomasLMatula says:
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              What I am referring to is an existing philosophy called “deep ecology” developed by Arne Naess with roots in the work of folks like Aldo Leopold. Do a search and you find a lot of material on it.

              And yes, it extends to space. There was a conference on it at NASA Ames about a decade ago and COSPAR has shown an interest in it. If micro-organisms are found on Mars expect folks to start campaigning for the rights of Martians and putting the planet off limits to settlement as with Antarctica. Very sad, but it’s what deep ecology environmentalists do.

          • Vladislaw says:
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            Well if we are going in to conquer Mars then lets do that openly. But what we should not do is sign a treaty with the martian micro-organisms promising that it is their land forever. (or until we find a resource we want an then all bets are off)

            • ThomasLMatula says:
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              So you are good with humans claiming control of the resources of Mars via the Moon Treaty? Isn’t it time to leave such European models of colonialism in the past?

              • Vladislaw says:
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                I am a capitalist and until someone invents a better popsicle it is the best game in town and as long as you have the rule of law and property rights I have no problem with putting the 9 billion acre unclaimed asset of Luna and 25 billion acres of Mars recorded in humanities ledger books.

              • ThomasLMatula says:
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                It’s impossible to be a Capitalist and advocate for the Moon Treaty. The two are just incompatible. There is already the rule of law in space, the OST, and the Chattel Property Rights it provides for are far better for business than the Moon Treaty. Just look at Luxembourg’s new law under it.

                If you were really interested in establishing resource property rights in space you would get Latvia to sign the OST and pass a similar law on space resources. It is the best game in town. You might even create new jobs in a new industry for your adopted homeland.

                Luxembourg has done well being a flag of convenience for comsats which is why they expanded in space resources. Why not Latvia?

              • Vladislaw says:
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                I didn’t advocate for the moon treaty and I never have.

      • ThomasLMatula says:
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        Really, its all academic until science is sure that Mars has no life on it. Until then there is no chance that he will get the licenses he will need to reach Mars.

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