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NASA OIG Report: Further Delays in Commercial Crew, More Payments to Russians

By Doug Messier
Parabolic Arc
September 1, 2016
Filed under , , , , , , , , , ,

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An audit by the NASA Inspector General released today indicates that the commercial crew program will likely delayed further due to technical and administrative challenges at significant cost to U.S. taxpayers.

Synopsis

  • First commercial crew flights likely to slip to late 2018 — 3 years beyond original schedule
  • Boeing and SpaceX facing significant design challenges, including CST-100 weight and excess seawater seeping into the Dragon capsule
  • “Significant” delays in NASA evaluation of partner safety and hazard reviews and reports
  • NASA to pay additional $490 million ($82 million per seat) for astronaut transport on Russian Soyuz through 2018

Below is a summary from the report. Read the full audit here.

Report Excerpt

What We Found

The Commercial Crew Program continues to face multiple challenges that will likely delay the first routine flight carrying NASA astronauts to the ISS until late 2018 – more than 3 years after NASA’s original 2015 goal. While past funding shortfalls have contributed to the delay, technical challenges with the contractors’ spacecraft designs are now driving the schedule slippages. For Boeing, these include issues relating to the effects of vibrations generated during launch and challenges regarding vehicle mass. For SpaceX, delays resulted from a change in capsule design to enable a water-based rather than ground-based landing and related concerns about the capsule taking on excessive water.

Moreover, both companies must satisfy NASA’s safety review process to ensure they meet Agency human-rating requirements. As part of the certification process, Boeing and SpaceX conduct safety reviews and report to NASA on potential hazards and their plans for mitigating risks. We found significant delays in NASA’s evaluation and approval of these hazard reports and related requests for variances from NASA requirements that increase the risk costly redesign work may be required late in development, which could further delay certification. Although NASA’s goal is to complete its review within 8 weeks of receipt of a hazard report, the contractors told us reviews can take as long as 6 months. We also found NASA does not monitor the overall timeliness of its safety review process.

Given delays in the Commercial Crew Program, NASA has extended its contract with Roscosmos for astronaut transportation through 2018 at an additional cost of $490 million or $82 million a seat for six more seats. If the Program experiences additional delays, NASA may need to buy additional seats from Russia to ensure a continued U.S. presence on the ISS.

What We Recommended

To improve NASA’s oversight of the Commercial Crew Program, we recommended the Associate Administrator for Human Exploration and Operations (1) implement procedures to monitor the timeliness of NASA’s review process for hazard reports to help reduce risk to the Program’s schedule and (2) coordinate with Boeing and SpaceX to document a path to timely resolution for variance requests and hazard reports that have exceeded the review period goals. In response to a draft of this report, NASA managers concurred with our first recommendation and described responsive corrective actions. Therefore, the recommendation is resolved and will be closed upon verification and completion of those actions.

NASA management partially concurred with our second recommendation, agreeing coordination with its commercial partners is necessary to ensure hazard reports and variance requests are addressed at the appropriate time and stating it will continue to have weekly discussions with the companies to develop a path for timely resolution. However, we believe NASA needs to take additional action to ensure timely review of hazard reports and avoid the possibility of costly redesign late in the development schedule. Therefore, this recommendation is unresolved pending further discussion with Agency officials.

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9 responses to “NASA OIG Report: Further Delays in Commercial Crew, More Payments to Russians”

  1. Andrew_M_Swallow says:
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    Today’s explosion of a Falcon 9 during fuelling will further delay Commercial Crew flights for at least 9 months. So NASA will have to get more money to pay for additional flights from the Russians.

    • Richard Malcolm says:
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      9 months? Where have you read that?

      • Andrew_M_Swallow says:
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        My estimate from SpaceX’s last accident. You can produce your own estimate.

        • Richard Malcolm says:
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          Yeah, but you are assuming this accident was similar in nature to the one in June 2015. And we do not know that yet, because we don’t know what happened.

          I’m sure it’s going to be a multi-month delay of some kind. Beyond that, we just can’t say yet.

          • Andrew_M_Swallow says:
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            The faults do not have to be similar just the investigation time, retesting time and the time to handle the (same) bureaucracy.

            • windbourne says:
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              last time, they were not 100% certain of the final evaluation.
              With this, they might be 100% certain quickly, if the issue was outside of the F9.
              As such, it is possible that in less than 1 month, they are good to go again.

    • Jeff Smith says:
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      Are you implying this will affect the Starliner/Atlas launches too, or did you just mean the Dragon/Falcon launches? (If you meant just the latter, I’d say 6-9 months is reasonable.)

      • Andrew_M_Swallow says:
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        I meant SpaceX. However I would not be surprised that when NASA and the US Air Force read the report they ask the other launch vehicle manufactures if their products have similar problems. Then suggest that the faults be fixed before the rockets are certified to carry people – accidents are embarrassing.

  2. Jeff Smith says:
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    I hate to send that half a billion overseas as much as the next person, but this is the cheapest insurance policy NASA can buy to give their contractors the time to do this right. I’m glad that the Cold War is just over enough that we don’t put national pride ahead of astronaut safety. Between having a Commercial Crew program to begin with and spending money where it needs to be spent, NASA management is making some REALLY good decisions right now.

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